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Do these scatter plots reveal fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan?

Stand-up Maths · explainer · Watch on YouTube

Data science & statisticsRecreational & visual mathUS politics & elections

What it is

Matt Parker of Stand-up Maths examines scatter plots that were claimed to show fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan's 2020 election. He recreates the analysis and shows that the pattern arises from comparing percentages across different bases, not from fraud.

Why Hacker News recommends it

HN commenters cite it as a clear debunking of election-fraud statistics and as a warning against comparing percentages without context.

  • 4 people recommended it
  • 2 different months
  • 0 strong recommendations
  • first 2020, last 2021

What HN commenters said

  1. “Matt Parker (Stand-up Maths) has an example of this and related to a recent election”

    Explains why comparing percentages across different bases misleads

    szc, 2020-12 · Recommendation · in “What we can learn from the latest indoor dining study”

  2. “here's a video that debunks many of his claims”

    Debunks claims of vote-switching using statistics

    trevor-e, 2020-12 · Recommendation · in “YouTube to remove content that alleges widespread election fraud”

  3. “has analyzed some of the numerical allegations of fraud”

    A mathematician analyzes numerical fraud allegations

    nitrogen, 2020-12 · Recommendation · in “California Public Utilities Commission fired director who exposed missing $200M”

  4. “Stand-up Maths called this out recently and it's good to mention.”

    Warns against comparing percentages without context

    hinkley, 2021-03 · Recommendation · in “Nuclear technology’s role in the world’s energy supply is shrinking”

Excerpts from Hacker News comments, linked to the originals. Summaries and labels were written by a language model from those comments.

Topics: statistics, election 2020, debunking, scatter plots, percentages

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