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Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio

Principles by Ray Dalio · explainer · Watch on YouTube

Macroeconomics & financial crisesWorld history

What it is

An animated 44-minute summary of Ray Dalio's book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. It lays out the Big Cycle of rising and declining nations, covering debt cycles, internal conflict, and shifts in global power over the past 500 years.

Why Hacker News recommends it

HN commenters recommend it as a clear framework for placing the current US and world situation within historical debt and empire cycles.

  • 10 people recommended it
  • 11 different months
  • 4 strong recommendations
  • first 2022, last 2025

What HN commenters said

  1. “this recent video by Ray Dalio made me think a lot, and led me to his books”

    Quantitative model of rising and declining world leaders.

    chubot, 2022-05 · Strong recommendation · in “No, America is not collapsing”

  2. “I can't recommend it enough (both the book and the YouTube video).”

    Explains where the US sits in its history.

    short_throw, 2023-07 · Strong recommendation · in “Uh, guys, we should think about spending more on defense in the US”

  3. “that is very much worth a watch”

    Directly answers when wars happen in empire decline.

    hayst4ck, 2024-02 · Strong recommendation · in “U.S. Strikes Iran-Backed Groups in Syria and Iraq”

  4. “I am surprised no one has shared these two important documentary videos on money”

    Important documentary-style video on money and debt cycles.

    OrlandoHakim, 2022-03 · Recommendation · in “What is money, anyway?”

  5. “which stirred up a very solemn feeling in me”

    Prompted sense of duty to compete internationally.

    fervor, 2022-04 · Recommendation · in “War Without Rules: Inside China’s Playbook for Global Domination”

  6. “I did find it quite helpful when considering where things are, have been and might be going”

    Helpful for placing the US within historical cycles.

    Litost, 2022-06 · Recommendation · in “Only essential services to operate from midnight”

  7. “this video summary of it is pretty interesting.”

    Video summary of Dalio's book on possible futures.

    f0e4c2f7, 2022-08 · Recommendation · in “Y Combinator narrows current cohort size by 40%, citing downturn and funding”

  8. “This is wonderfully paired with this video”

    Draws analogies to growth and decline at the country level.

    theuri, 2022-09 · Recommendation · in “Evolution and Revolution as Organizations Grow (1972)”

Excerpts from Hacker News comments, linked to the originals. Summaries and labels were written by a language model from those comments.

Topics: ray dalio, debt cycles, rise and fall of empires, world order, economic history

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